Dynamic Linkages Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and External Variables in Latin America: Wavelet Analysis

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dc.contributor.affiliationMarín-Rodríguez N.J., Grupo de Investigación en Ingeniería Financiera (GINIF), Programa de Ingeniería Financiera, Facultad de Ingenierías, Universidad de Medellín, Medellín, 050026, Colombia
dc.contributor.affiliationGonzález-Ruiz J.D., Grupo de Investigación en Finanzas y Sostenibilidad, Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Humanas y Económicas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia—Sede Medellín, Medellín, 050034, Colombia
dc.contributor.affiliationBotero S., Departamento de Ingeniería de la Organización, Facultad de Minas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia—Sede Medellín, Medellín, 050034, Colombia
dc.contributor.authorMarín-Rodríguez N.J.
dc.contributor.authorGonzález-Ruiz J.D.
dc.contributor.authorBotero S.
dc.date.accessioned2025-09-08T14:23:52Z
dc.date.available2025-09-08T14:23:52Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.descriptionWavelet coherence analysis (WCA) examines the dynamic interactions between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Mexico and key external variables, using monthly data from 2010 to 2022. The findings reveal the following: (i) medium-term co-movements (4–16 months) between EPU and global financial indicators, including the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Market Volatility Index (RVIX), Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate Index (RMOVE), and Global EPU Index (RGEPU), emphasizing the sustained influence of financial volatility on domestic policy environments, particularly during global turbulence; (ii) significant interactions between EPU and the Climate Policy Uncertainty Index (RCPU) in resource-dependent economies like Brazil and Colombia, with pronounced effects in medium- and long-term horizons; (iii) bidirectional relationships between Brent crude oil prices (RBRENT) and EPU in Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico, where oil price fluctuations shape policy uncertainty, especially during global market disruptions; and (iv) notable co-movements between EPU and the Dow Jones Sustainability World Index (RW1SGI) in Brazil, Chile, and Mexico, highlighting sensitivity to shifts in sustainability-driven markets. These results underscore the need for economic diversification, strengthened financial safeguards, and integrated climate risk management to mitigate external shocks. By exploring the time–frequency dynamics of global uncertainties and domestic policy environments, this study provides actionable insights for fostering resilience and stability in Latin America’s interconnected economies while addressing vulnerabilities to global market volatility and sustainability transitions. © 2025 by the authors.
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/economies13020022
dc.identifier.instnameinstname:Universidad de Medellínspa
dc.identifier.issn22277099
dc.identifier.reponamereponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad de Medellínspa
dc.identifier.repourlrepourl:https://repository.udem.edu.co/
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11407/9123
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisher.facultyFacultad de Ingenieríasspa
dc.publisher.programIngeniería Financieraspa
dc.relation.citationissue2
dc.relation.citationvolume13
dc.relation.isversionofhttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85219186531&doi=10.3390%2feconomies13020022&partnerID=40&md5=354bcc9ce7cc47237986f14839dc1051
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dc.rights.accesoAll Open Access
dc.rights.accesoGold Open Access
dc.rights.accessrightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.sourceEconomies
dc.sourceEconomies
dc.sourceScopus
dc.subjectClimate policy uncertainty
dc.subjectEconomic policy uncertainty
dc.subjectFinancial volatility
dc.subjectGlobal sustainability
dc.subjectLatin America
dc.subjectWavelet coherence analysis
dc.titleDynamic Linkages Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and External Variables in Latin America: Wavelet Analysis
dc.typeArticle
dc.type.localArtículospa
dc.type.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

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